TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked No49c51,418$25,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,119.112642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c19,667$10,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,445.9914337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c17,604$7,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,715.431,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c16,427$8,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,643.4824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c12,627$5,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,674.1652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No48c11,409$5,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,932.674940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes52c11,346$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9002544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes51c10,925$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,560.3137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes6c10,000$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.492317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No46c9,070$4,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,897.534551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed70…48c1backed Yes54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No48c5,821$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.923351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c5,415$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.6987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c4,913$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.7671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c4,635$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.2362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No48c4,100$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1321464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No48c3,877$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.081662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b2…e354backed Yes52c3,819$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5606648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No47c2,572$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.0729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No48c2,347$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.442835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes32c2,023$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.0548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes53c1,094$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.185745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2234…d80abacked Yes53c927.47$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4249140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes54c699.44$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c699.44$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.733148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes54c656.22$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.53447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes23c482.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes53c424$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.722944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes53c396.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.511250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1426550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c309.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714520%9 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15910838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes7c292.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5920232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes53c274.27$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed No80c258.25$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.651580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a91…bbdebacked Yes53c226$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes52c221.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c216.04$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No49c215.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.814856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No48c212.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4611556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes6c210.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2960%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No68c202.61$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5713246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c200.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.121,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1069355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes52c193$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.364266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No46c187.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10112957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes52c184.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes53c179.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.333647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No70c175.83$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.153354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb3d…4ddabacked Yes48c170.71$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Yes53c162.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.7wins-0.34per pick55cpaid-63.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes32c156.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No47c141.66$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.087549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c47…7fdfbacked Yes44c129.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Yes51c128.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes11c123.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6324642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Yes53c113$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes52c102$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.049156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091d…b305backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ab…7193backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7e…50aabacked No48c92.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes53c92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.769747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.