Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d8bd5d78d2ef13c1b3fa1f5b1566bbad086bf74e018ce26e6fe1c5675d4039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 23c | 21,837$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,840.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 19,271$13,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,460.06 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 6,937$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.56 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 78c | 3,956$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 3,117$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 1,894$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.54 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 22c | 1,773$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 1,467$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.73 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 900$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 21c | 714.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.28 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 600.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 21c | 471$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 78c | 465.38$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 23c | 440$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 77c | 440$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.8 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 408.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.9 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 47c | 385$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 367.46$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 22c | 262.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 248.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 21c | 233.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 22c | 225$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 214.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.54 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 77c | 181.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 174.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5aa5backed Yes | 78c | 170.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 27c | 149.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 78c | 145.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed No | 75c | 135.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 106.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 20c | 78.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 72.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 60c | 70.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 46c | 66.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 47c | 64.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 44c | 63.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 75c | 60.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 44c | 59.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 52.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Yes | 23c | 46.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…05d0backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…480dbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.