Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07233ffbb5882ec8d4a53d2ccdb274f984b7307b43a2a99ee3754939f8480c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 26c | 21,837$5,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 17,339$12,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 75c | 5,334$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.5 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,127$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.45 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,313$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.48 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 2c | 1,089$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 854.13$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 576.92$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 364.59$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 75c | 359.85$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 73c | 347.04$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 17c | 294.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 225.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Yes | 29c | 196.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 38c | 130.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 27c | 111.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 76.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 73c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 25c | 41.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed No | 75c | 20.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 76c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.