TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No70c29,457$20,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,747.916048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c16,170$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,129.741,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed No70c11,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes31c8,940$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,168.7915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes30c5,433$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.238334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes30c4,452$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.73145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c3,275$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.023,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes31c3,167$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.8379133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c2,692$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.2392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes28c1,550$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.417440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No70c1,339$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.4712845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c1,125$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.164,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes79c958.48$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No26c859.96$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3335145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No26c622.81$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.714344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes75c605$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes30c599.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.992846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c599.05$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.022,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c510.21$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.921,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes68c405.71$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.832360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Yes29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2843171%22 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked No11c351.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-72%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No70c329.29$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes32c313.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20737829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…5540backed Yes26c289.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.371118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb936…0a66backed No76c263.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes16c245.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.656920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No42c239.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004139%16 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes31c237.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.932850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes31c223.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.884637%17 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes24c220.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes34c205.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.881952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes73c168$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8637039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No68c160.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.641,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1057055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No55c146.58$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0715643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd5…7330backed Yes69c144.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.091070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked No10c144$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked No70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes71c140.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.871154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb05e…ed23backed Yes31c139.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+165.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes32c137.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.143046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes30c125$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.523250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No70c120.48$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3428847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes49c119.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4315444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac1…620cbacked No70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8177…be85backed No24c106.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x049e…55b1backed Yes19c105.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.66540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked No14c104.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece1…5cebbacked No68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes30c99.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8189050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes68c91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3215443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes34c88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Yes72c83.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked No72c78.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.292250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.433033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes31c63.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4431952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc2…757cbacked Yes31c63.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.516100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes32c61.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.162236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71d6…a929backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.621283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+116%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No25c59.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7314259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Yes34c59.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.823941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed No34c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7211840.7%48 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked No69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa133…d379backed No70c55.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No22c55.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3741323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Yes29c49.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.131315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b13…3d47backed Yes70c47.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Yes32c47.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.565464.8%35 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8817…6b9ebacked Yes31c46.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+297.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed No70c46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c45.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No30c44.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4c…3353backed Yes35c44.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked Yes31c44.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.128838.6%34 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No60c42.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65042%21 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3678…d0a5backed No68c39.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…c4fdbacked Yes32c37.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+216.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1098…10a7backed No69c35.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c34.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No70c33.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed No68c32.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.141764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.269357%53 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6a…0665backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick43cpaid+126.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62454.2%13 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed No68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes37c29.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.