La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b6caa63124b00ab0e75b82e38492f35c222bc4216bdccfb91c8054047b8ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 32c | 15,757$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 4,320$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.3 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 2,835$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.34 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 2,775$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.07 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 2,273$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.29 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 32c | 903.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 12c | 834.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 709$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 630.66$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 628$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 555.12$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 315.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 49c | 255.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 238.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 229.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 212.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Yes | 18c | 172$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 149.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 137.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 100.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked No | 63c | 98.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 96.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 90.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Yes | 31c | 89.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 85.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 29c | 57.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 30c | 55.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 45.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Yes | 26c | 41.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 69c | 37.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 40c | 34.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed No | 70c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +116%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 65c | 25.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 75c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-16?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.