Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc495dc28004735efbbe1635fdfc90e8a97c2ad02c037c0a0f82023fabcc3417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 52c | 25,363$13,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,192.68 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 12,539$6,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,018.89 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,404$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 52c | 1,463$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.24 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 45c | 1,327$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.57 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 535$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 464.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.79 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 258.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 218.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 53c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 47c | 63.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Under | 50c | 59.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 57c | 19.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 147.5this page
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming CowboysWyoming Cowboys won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 145.5Over won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 146.5Over won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-10.5)Fresno State Bulldogs won
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-8.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-9.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.