Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3224d9dd84a488f50aa2da6a21ba65298de725aa2a2b1274abcddab75109eec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof Wyoming Cowboys, Fresno State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 6,158$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.11 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 47c | 2,013$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.93 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 59c | 1,219$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.79 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 43c | 1,069$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 47c | 1,058$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 47c | 1,001$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.26 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 43c | 800$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 47c | 395.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 46c | 231.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 202.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 187.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 170.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 33c | 129.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 42c | 126.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 29c | 106.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 55c | 66.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 63.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 62.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Wyoming Cowboys | 56c | 49.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 43.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 44c | 34.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…c4a9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 42c | 30.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 41c | 29.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 43c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 57c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Wyoming Cowboys | 58c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-8.5)this page
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming CowboysWyoming Cowboys won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 145.5Over won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 146.5Over won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 147.5Over won
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-10.5)Fresno State Bulldogs won
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-9.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.