Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82707787bcc3a71cfd6e2b8d8960eee8953b3cf8d780a3cd3df8fd0142af0a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 49c | 71,188$34,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,882.19 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 50c | 39,966$19,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,983.13 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 26,540$13,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,115.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 50c | 9,959$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.51 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 8,125$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.76 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 5,380$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.5 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Over | 49c | 4,103$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 48c | 1,165$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.56 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 992$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.16 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 973.24$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.89 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 632.65$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 22c | 595.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 492$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 48c | 492$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 48c | 490.52$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 466.87$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 430.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 248.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 228$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…380bbacked Over | 50c | 219.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 52c | 192.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 49c | 192.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…377cbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 154.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 53c | 134.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 51c | 129.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 103.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Over | 25c | 84.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Under | 53c | 81.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…ee6bbacked Over | 48c | 62.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Under | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Over | 49c | 45.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 52c | 44.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 50c | 44.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 51c | 40.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655f…be5fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Over | 48c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 157.5this page
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-1.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 156.5Under won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.