Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e987a92d943d781517116da95133b269b195c45ca18a16f7cc45014b68ad4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 47c | 16,177$7,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.77 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 12,556$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,652.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 53c | 547.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 53c | 539.01$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.68 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 27c | 381.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 329$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 53c | 259$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…380bbacked Over | 53c | 219.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 52c | 191$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Under | 49c | 60.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Over | 58c | 57.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 48c | 47.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 46.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 71c | 32.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 156.5this page
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-1.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 157.5Under won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.