Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Ignacio Buse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6428b23a0d7eec8ec1fca5de6bbba752fbffa4b304abc90e489b20922602c236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buseof Marcondes, Buse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marcondes | 44c | 44,164$19,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,395.75 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Buse | 54c | 22,126$12,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,087.61 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Buse | 32c | 11,739$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,989.59 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Marcondes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.9 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Marcondes | 42c | 9,736$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.77 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Buse | 47c | 9,374$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.53 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Marcondes | 50c | 8,543$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Marcondes | 7c | 7,848$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.39 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Buse | 33c | 6,212$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.12 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Marcondes | 36c | 5,008$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.75 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Marcondes | 44c | 4,182$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.41 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Buse | 64c | 3,629$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.56 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Buse | 54c | 3,323$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.87 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Buse | 27c | 3,260$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.77 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Buse | 56c | 2,885$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.65 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Buse | 69c | 2,881$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.3 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marcondes | 53c | 2,851$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.73 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Buse | 47c | 2,570$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.12 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Buse | 48c | 2,370$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.4 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Buse | 62c | 2,259$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.04 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Marcondes | 31c | 2,190$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.23 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Buse | 61c | 1,911$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.56 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Buse | 67c | 1,509$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.26 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Marcondes | 36c | 1,406$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.41 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Buse | 32c | 1,231$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.71 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Buse | 58c | 903.36$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.36 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Buse | 26c | 821.74$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Buse | 32c | 801.58$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.76 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Marcondes | 38c | 784.45$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Buse | 25c | 750.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.96 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Buse | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Marcondes | 71c | 649.15$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.9 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Marcondes | 53c | 589.64$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.7 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Buse | 22c | 565.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.84 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Marcondes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Buse | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Marcondes | 61c | 495.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Marcondes | 46c | 492.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Buse | 66c | 458.48$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Buse | 68c | 438.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…8ed0backed Marcondes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Buse | 50c | 397.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Buse | 41c | 388.89$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Marcondes | 53c | 373.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Marcondes | 72c | 371.36$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marcondes | 30c | 364.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marcondes | 55c | 344.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Buse | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Buse | 51c | 336.24$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Marcondes | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Buse | 42c | 301.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Marcondes | 27c | 286.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Buse | 52c | 286.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Marcondes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Buse | 79c | 276.9$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Buse | 30c | 270.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.61 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Marcondes | 12c | 259.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…3df4backed Buse | 63c | 243.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Marcondes | 72c | 237.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marcondes | 53c | 225.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Marcondes | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Buse | 73c | 200.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Buse | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Marcondes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Buse | 69c | 194$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Marcondes | 31c | 186.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Buse | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Buse | 58c | 164.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Marcondes | 36c | 164$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Marcondes | 43c | 152.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Buse | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Buse | 53c | 148.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Buse | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Buse | 45c | 144.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Buse | 70c | 143.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Buse | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Marcondes | 34c | 140.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Buse | 53c | 139.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…55b1backed Buse | 34c | 132.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Buse | 19c | 132$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Marcondes | 31c | 125.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Buse | 48c | 124.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Marcondes | 32c | 119.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Buse | 69c | 113.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Buse | 44c | 111$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Buse | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Buse | 59c | 103.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Buse | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Buse | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Marcondes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Marcondes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marcondes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Marcondes | 35c | 96.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Marcondes | 38c | 95.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Marcondes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Buse | 59c | 92.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Buse | 60c | 88.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Marcondes | 45c | 87.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marcondes | 26c | 86.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Marcondes | 36c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Ignacio Busethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Marcondes vs BuseMarcondes won
- Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Marcondes (+1.5)Marcondes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.