NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x160cab7e6538cc6e70ab1be93b07e298e2a3876e35146c698faabc68b08a4b99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $628,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 639 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 53c | 117,797$62,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,899.96 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Ducks | 47c | 112,734$52,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,750.66 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Oilers | 52c | 59,847$31,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,120.23 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Ducks | 50c | 20,000$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,004.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oilers | 50c | 17,288$8,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,644.03 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…9038backed Oilers | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Oilers | 54c | 13,376$7,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,222.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Ducks | 46c | 13,043$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 46c | 12,746$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,821.07 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Ducks | 47c | 12,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.99 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 47c | 11,977$5,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.61 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 52c | 11,384$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.61 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 43c | 11,317$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400.64 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Oilers | 55c | 11,000$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 56c | 10,733$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.26 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 44c | 10,052$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625.82 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Ducks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.96 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 47c | 8,944$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.9 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 54c | 8,789$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.11 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Ducks | 46c | 8,500$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,584.98 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Oilers | 39c | 8,322$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.06 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Ducks | 45c | 7,970$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,383.64 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ducks | 46c | 7,960$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.43 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Oilers | 54c | 7,391$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.94 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 48c | 6,705$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.5 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 64c | 6,142$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.87 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 42c | 5,968$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.94 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Oilers | 53c | 5,339$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.3 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 64c | 5,125$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Ducks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Ducks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Ducks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.96 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…ea1abacked Ducks | 46c | 4,981$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ducks | 40c | 4,719$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.69 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers | 1c | 4,662$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Oilers | 51c | 4,625$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.98 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Ducks | 48c | 4,500$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Ducks | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Oilers | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 38c | 3,656$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.26 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Oilers | 53c | 3,403$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.38 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Ducks | 49c | 3,220$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.44 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Oilers | 55c | 3,182$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Oilers | 63c | 3,008$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.81 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ducks | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Ducks | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Ducks | 48c | 2,902$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.04 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 47c | 2,830$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.88 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Ducks | 50c | 2,780$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.58 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Oilers | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cc…e4ebbacked Oilers | 51c | 2,608$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…3158backed Ducks | 48c | 2,583$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…9021backed Ducks | 48c | 2,412$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…6ad8backed Oilers | 51c | 2,389$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Oilers | 54c | 2,272$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Oilers | 72c | 2,261$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.89 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Oilers | 63c | 2,153$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 47c | 2,106$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 49c | 2,068$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.46 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ducks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 64c | 1,997$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 53c | 1,776$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.28 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Ducks | 40c | 1,647$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.93 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Ducks | 45c | 1,636$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.74 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…b38fbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,593$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Oilers | 63c | 1,589$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.04 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Ducks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Oilers | 52c | 1,482$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.64 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Oilers | 53c | 1,478$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…38d5backed Oilers | 51c | 1,407$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 58c | 1,361$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.14 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 37c | 1,317$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.75 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ducks | 46c | 1,280$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.27 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Oilers | 54c | 1,260$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.97 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks | 48c | 1,222$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.09 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff6…1efcbacked Ducks | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 58c | 1,169$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed Ducks | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…7accbacked Oilers | 51c | 1,150$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237c…5e41backed Oilers | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…019fbacked Oilers | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Oilers | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Ducks | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Ducks | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…1d16backed Ducks | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Ducks | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ducks | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.6 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Ducks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Ducks | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.1 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Oilers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Oilers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Ducks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…2863backed Oilers | 55c | 983.71$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 48c | 968.42$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.58 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Ducksthis page
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.