Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce2673bbdb121b720944ccc0094fa428cc12b2b871a8352a9b5ec22ad27e454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, Michigan Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 124,181$74,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,750.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 61c | 122,936$75,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,451.42 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 39c | 92,249$36,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,179.63 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 68,440$40,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,786.36 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 60,000$24,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,799.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Duke Blue Devils | 39c | 32,592$12,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,880.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 29,997$11,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,095.23 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Duke Blue Devils | 38c | 29,955$11,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,572.04 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,250 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 39c | 24,233$9,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,782.39 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Duke Blue Devils | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 19,968$11,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,581.41 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Michigan Wolverines | 41c | 19,507$8,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,065.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 18,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,860 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 57c | 16,560$9,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,133.32 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Duke Blue Devils | 63c | 16,522$10,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,169.31 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Duke Blue Devils | 39c | 16,492$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,060.12 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Michigan Wolverines | 35c | 14,195$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.29 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Michigan Wolverines | 42c | 12,239$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.48 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Michigan Wolverines | 20c | 11,033$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 63c | 10,690$6,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.38 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Duke Blue Devils | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.95 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Michigan Wolverines | 61c | 9,901$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 8,787$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.74 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 8,451$6,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.89 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 7,850$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 7,656$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Duke Blue Devils | 63c | 7,432$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.93 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 6,831$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.87 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 6,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Michigan Wolverines | 64c | 5,343$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Michigan Wolverines | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed Michigan Wolverines | 61c | 4,846$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.23 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 4,721$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Duke Blue Devils | 64c | 4,610$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 4,070$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 4,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.99 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Duke Blue Devils | 38c | 3,338$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.48 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 3,295$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.85 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 3,036$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.44 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 3,003$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.7 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 3,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 2,834$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.13 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 2,824$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.72 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines | 40c | 2,669$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.5 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 2,489$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.59 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 2,320$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 2,217$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.95 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 2,111$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.16 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…cdcdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 2,076$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 2,057$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.87 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 2,003$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Michigan Wolverines | 31c | 2,000$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.97 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 1,883$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 15c | 1,723$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Duke Blue Devils | 42c | 1,719$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…4a65backed Duke Blue Devils | 58c | 1,621$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.51 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 1,547$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.2 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 1,421$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.61 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…41e8backed Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 1,368$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 1,330$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 30c | 1,316$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Duke Blue Devils | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Michigan Wolverines | 33c | 1,259$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 1,217$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.51 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Duke Blue Devils | 44c | 1,147$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.67 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…56f1backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 1,038$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Michigan Wolverines | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Michigan Wolverines | 38c | 999.64$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.96 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 989.42$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.65 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Duke Blue Devils | 44c | 962.5$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 928.79$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.92 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…ef15backed Michigan Wolverines | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Michigan Wolverines | 59c | 884.66$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 807.33$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…cd88backed Duke Blue Devils | 42c | 803.6$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 755.73$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Duke Blue Devils | 42c | 750$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.5 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Michigan Wolverines | 59c | 705.54$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.27 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 686.42$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.1 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Michigan Wolverines | 59c | 672.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Michigan Wolverines | 56c | 669.86$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.56 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 662.08$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Michigan Wolverines | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Michigan Wolverines | 33c | 620.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Duke Blue Devils | 41c | 596$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.33 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…8aa0backed Michigan Wolverines | 4c | 562.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesthis page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 150.5Under won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.