Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8d19992a11ce1d3d1a84e6e2eb75e134e187a0b575ab96c923af582ed5a76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 11,301$5,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.24 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 8,158$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.87 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 1,646$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.55 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 52c | 1,363$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.4 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,247$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 53c | 935.14$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.51 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 647.93$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.53 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 624.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Over | 46c | 314.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 294.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 54c | 282.51$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 46c | 193.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Under | 53c | 110.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 99.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…f574backed Over | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 55c | 32.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 26.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 25.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 53c | 25.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 145.5this page
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar CardinalsNicholls Colonels won
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 143.5Under won
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 144.5Under won
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-1.5)Nicholls Colonels won
- Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-2.5)Nicholls Colonels won
- Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-3.5)Nicholls Colonels won
- Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-4.5)Nicholls Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.