Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800de2a9946904fc7354ce2f18d007108ff973387b2ae228b05682675bc63e23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicholls Colonelsof Lamar Cardinals, Nicholls Colonels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nicholls Colonels | 46c | 5,145$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lamar Cardinals | 53c | 3,900$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.58 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Lamar Cardinals | 56c | 1,762$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.72 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Lamar Cardinals | 55c | 1,341$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.56 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Lamar Cardinals | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Nicholls Colonels | 47c | 757.34$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.39 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 660.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicholls Colonels | 44c | 529.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.72 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 432.56$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Nicholls Colonels | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Nicholls Colonels | 47c | 117.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 106.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nicholls Colonels | 44c | 79.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lamar Cardinals | 56c | 52.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nicholls Colonels | 46c | 33.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Nicholls Colonels | 46c | 33.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-2.5)this page
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar CardinalsNicholls Colonels won
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 143.5Under won
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 144.5Under won
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 145.5Under won
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-1.5)Nicholls Colonels won
- Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-3.5)Nicholls Colonels won
- Spread: Lamar Cardinals (-4.5)Nicholls Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.