Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VMI Keydets vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6e19ed6631b6abe8755c92cb10cc33c4874864f57ef21f6c14b9bb3a042652d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 50c | 14,995$7,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,562.62 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 10,050$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 7,917$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 7,016$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 6,218$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.03 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 47c | 5,434$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 5,021$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.79 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 52c | 2,834$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.05 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 51c | 2,593$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 2,488$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.52 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 2,450$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.5 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 2,001$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.49 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 50c | 1,300$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 52c | 1,141$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.46 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,005$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 54c | 900.67$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.38 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 57c | 862.22$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.75 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 530.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 511$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 450.57$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 388$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked Under | 72c | 277.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 222$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 51c | 191.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 169.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 151.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 25c | 151.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 146.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Under | 78c | 140$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 133.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 52c | 116.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 45c | 77.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 49c | 75.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 55c | 72.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 66.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Under | 52c | 64.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 52.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 52.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 51c | 49.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…6786backed Under | 31c | 45.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Under | 74c | 42.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 50c | 39.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Under | 51c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Under | 50c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 57c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…19f9backed Over | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VMI Keydets vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 154.5this page
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-13.5)VMI Keydets won
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-14.5)VMI Keydets won
- VMI Keydets vs. Wofford TerriersWofford Terriers won
- VMI Keydets vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 156.5Over won
- VMI Keydets vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 157.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.