NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0db5be1f7d19c38b5d0705423e56bb7ab536301cea3ae2f1ae09adddd4ddb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 51c | 40,000$20,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,296.86 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 32,529$16,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,376.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 15,000$7,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,642.39 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 52c | 10,302$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.29 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 7,108$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 5,300$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.8 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 49c | 4,073$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,917$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 2,796$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.92 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 2,042$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.34 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 2,022$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.13 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,883$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 52c | 999.93$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.97 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 51c | 981.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.38 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 884.46$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 838.46$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 571$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.21 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 491.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 452.58$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 425.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…ec4abacked Over | 55c | 264.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…05d8backed Under | 52c | 192.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Under | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 109.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 48c | 100.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 75.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa53…7768backed Under | 52c | 62.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 48c | 53.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…0ec7backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 39.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Over | 51c | 38.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 52c | 34.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 48c | 30.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 45c | 24.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 47c | 24.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 49c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 23.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…d73bbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 65c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Jazz won
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jazz vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.