Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7051df3a7de6faf928e0f5288919444de2542e4959995589d8fa1ca2ff5c6a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 7,038$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.89 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 48c | 4,586$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.49 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 54c | 3,434$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.2 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Under | 48c | 3,427$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 3,242$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 2,210$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 47c | 2,085$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 52c | 2,080$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 56c | 1,966$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.67 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,874$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 52c | 782$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.59 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 57c | 342.4$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 127$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Over | 54c | 101.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 95.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…0d2abacked Under | 45c | 94.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 66.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 47.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 54c | 34.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 29.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…643dbacked Over | 54c | 27.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Under | 70c | 27.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 144.5this page
- North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State JackrabbitsNorth Dakota State Bison won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 145.5Under won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 146.5Under won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-1.5)North Dakota State Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.