Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd864b9911eb473d840211457a900938b5b171af58ac41aa6d400a813dc1fe926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 57c | 6,293$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.54 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 5,856$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 43c | 4,199$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.54 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 1,815$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.53 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 1,726$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.31 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…def4backed Over | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 65cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,102$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 980.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.38 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 59c | 959.05$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…98a7backed Over | 58c | 747.45$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 65c | 716.05$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.62 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…d9fabacked Under | 51c | 494.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 57c | 487.63$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Over | 56c | 379.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 38c | 291.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…c247backed Under | 42c | 285.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 57c | 264.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 44c | 245.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 233.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 176$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 56c | 170.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 55c | 144.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 122.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Under | 43c | 104.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 57c | 86.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 54c | 74.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 71.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 62.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 45c | 59.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 59c | 58.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…ada9backed Under | 44c | 51.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…2734backed Over | 59c | 48.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 45.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…9b86backed Under | 44c | 41.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Under | 50c | 37.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…5006backed Over | 57c | 27.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…3dccbacked Over | 57c | 23.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.