Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b27b43409c72578e93a6d1ef31121482308029a076fd98f2689aa872fcda5dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 2,331$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,320$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 28c | 1,249$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…ee7dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,193$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,071$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,062$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.79 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 69c | 998.85$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 21c | 899.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 874.67$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.4 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d7e5backed Yes | 30c | 348.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 16c | 311.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 230.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 185.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed No | 78c | 158.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…e3c0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 31c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 77c | 88.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…c695backed Yes | 24c | 73.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 66.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Yes | 31c | 63.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 61.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 78c | 54.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 23c | 46.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Yes | 31c | 44.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 79c | 39.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Yes | 31c | 36.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 30.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed No | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 69c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9b…eed9backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-02-16?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-02-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.