Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Florida Gators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f4fc765e53cca5d518c51e10bad8c1c2d8b64f4a061839f70b509dcfa00229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof TCU Horned Frogs, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 22,042$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,736.09 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 9,970$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,474.54 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 9,338$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,937.44 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Gators | 1c | 9,054$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 5,207$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 4,279$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.31 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 32c | 1,978$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.45 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 1,390$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed TCU Horned Frogs | 60c | 1,303$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Florida Gators | 10c | 1,039$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 1,001$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.59 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators | 63c | 899.17$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 26c | 881.46$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.45 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 800.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.28 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 735.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.95 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 731.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.29 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 537$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.45 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 491$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 443.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Florida Gators | 74c | 415.35$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.24 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 327.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…58b2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Florida Gators | 77c | 307.19$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.54 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bd…56babacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 239.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed Florida Gators | 73c | 205$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 204.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 18cpaid | +108%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida Gators | 72c | 199$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed TCU Horned Frogs | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 148.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Florida Gators | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed TCU Horned Frogs | 18c | 111.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…fbc5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 31c | 106.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed TCU Horned Frogs | 18c | 103.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 14c | 89.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed TCU Horned Frogs | 27c | 61.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 47.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Florida Gatorsthis page
- Spread: Florida Gators (-12.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Florida Gators: O/U 155.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Florida Gators: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.