Movies · resolved market
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73567f5048dba03ce278101711b7a14645087a7c7f648ebbaaf66c7c62f310cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 72c | 1,527$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.29 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 22c | 1,265$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 30c | 1,258$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.98 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 62c | 1,030$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.41 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 78c | 866$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.91 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 75c | 621.41$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.06 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 30c | 611.65$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.21 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 61c | 555$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 48c | 551$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 58c | 542$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed No | 22c | 518$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 38c | 505.15$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 65c | 503.58$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.89 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed No | 62c | 480.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 462$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 50c | 400.34$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 20c | 372.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.55 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 25c | 362$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 72c | 356.59$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 25c | 351$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 62c | 331$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 28c | 324$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 78c | 318$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…5ff3backed No | 22c | 315$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Yes | 78c | 314$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 39c | 307$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 302$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…86f5backed No | 19c | 300.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +406%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…6d8abacked No | 22c | 290$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…84f1backed Yes | 74c | 290$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 75c | 286$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…7283backed Yes | 38c | 265.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.47per pick | 59cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 75c | 264$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…4585backed No | 23c | 257.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 54c | 254.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed Yes | 75c | 248$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 41c | 237$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…996bbacked No | 24c | 236$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 33c | 234.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 38c | 223$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…f1fdbacked No | 27c | 216$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 25c | 209$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bd…7469backed Yes | 80c | 208.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 42c | 204.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Yes | 49c | 203.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…5e17backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 45c | 178.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 174.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…52ecbacked No | 26c | 172$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…4287backed Yes | 78c | 172$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…6f58backed No | 22c | 168$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…e711backed No | 25c | 167$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +182%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed No | 59c | 165$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 49c | 163$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed Yes | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…d207backed No | 22c | 158$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 35c | 145.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…0b68backed No | 23c | 145$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 27c | 145$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 41c | 144.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…4927backed Yes | 78c | 143$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed No | 25c | 142$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…9254backed No | 21c | 140$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 65c | 138$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 136.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed No | 25c | 136$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…6890backed No | 27c | 134$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd789…96e3backed Yes | 74c | 133$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 75c | 127$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…e145backed No | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b65…56f4backed No | 22c | 125$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Yes | 38c | 124$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…c25abacked No | 22c | 123$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…6585backed Yes | 78c | 121$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 77cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 61c | 120.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…680cbacked Yes | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…98abbacked Yes | 73c | 118$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 79c | 113.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 64c | 112$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…9f48backed No | 22c | 111$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 28c | 108$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…e748backed No | 21c | 105.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…912abacked No | 26c | 105$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf0…ad13backed No | 24c | 105$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…d398backed No | 25c | 105$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 78c | 104$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3b…e1dbbacked Yes | 76c | 104$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 73c | 104$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed Yes | 37c | 101.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…1271backed Yes | 78c | 101$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…c063backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 71c | 99.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Benny Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Clint Bentley be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Edward Berger be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will James Cameron be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Jon M. Chu be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Kathryn Bigelow be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Kleber Mendonça Filho be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mona Fastvold be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Noah Baumbach be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Park Chan-wook be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Thomas Anderson be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Zach Cregger be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.