TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vanderbiltof Vanderbilt, Tennessee
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$871,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$638,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $871,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Tennessee41c250,000$101,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,293.623164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tennessee1c115,805$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.9926244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Vanderbilt59c82,934$49,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,820.9816234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Vanderbilt64c79,025$50,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,4494163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Tennessee1c64,625$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vanderbilt53c51,929$27,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,388.3358850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Tennessee58c42,919$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tennessee1c32,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Vanderbilt64c20,195$12,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,270.362035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Vanderbilt64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2007342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Tennessee56c19,027$10,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,652.062462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Tennessee54c18,239$9,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,849.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Tennessee53c14,523$7,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,697.215957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Vanderbilt47c14,034$6,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,415.0381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tennessee11c11,213$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.9364841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Vanderbilt46c10,122$4,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,470.0852449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Vanderbilt42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8003540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Tennessee52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20015352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Vanderbilt51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.996731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tennessee36c9,366$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.0862843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Vanderbilt62c8,093$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.155565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Tennessee37c7,131$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.2213933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Vanderbilt47c6,381$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,39611248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vanderbilt42c6,213$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.952,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Vanderbilt52c4,121$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.4117443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee33c3,887$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.6840541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Vanderbilt48c3,427$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.931770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vanderbilt41c3,359$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.4148546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37d1…0c60backed Vanderbilt54c3,063$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.791145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Vanderbilt42c3,000$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7308448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Tennessee56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9911540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Tennessee53c3,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.997448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Vanderbilt44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9738142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tennessee37c2,950$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08921538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Vanderbilt45c2,927$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Vanderbilt47c2,815$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.0229249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Tennessee55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Vanderbilt42c2,030$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.3830949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vanderbilt53c2,006$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.2340244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Tennessee38c1,996$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Vanderbilt64c1,943$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.48544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Vanderbilt44c1,900$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0648236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4392…68c3backed Vanderbilt79c1,900$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Tennessee55c1,891$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.3910046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tennessee32c1,864$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.4386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Vanderbilt43c1,800$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.9734529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Tennessee56c1,775$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Tennessee54c1,381$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7464042.5%17 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Vanderbilt43c1,294$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.332138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Vanderbilt48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6509053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Vanderbilt43c1,200$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68665945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Vanderbilt47c1,075$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.612751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Tennessee45c1,041$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Tennessee47c1,031$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6511541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Vanderbilt48c1,020$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.561926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Vanderbilt55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Tennessee56c999.95$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.972365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Vanderbilt46c973.83$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Tennessee37c917.34$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3226939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tennessee62c913.68$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.8723751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Vanderbilt41c911.93$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.0449443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Vanderbilt48c892.56$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.761457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Tennessee1c841.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Vanderbilt46c638.57$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt44c638.1$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Tennessee45c622.28$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7120553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Vanderbilt62c611.51$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.515742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Tennessee40c601.79$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.72343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Tennessee54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3243240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Vanderbilt44c589.33$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.023844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Tennessee7c584.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5526750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tennessee56c570$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.217361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Vanderbilt42c554.05$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3393548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Vanderbilt46c529.4$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.952343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Vanderbilt47c502$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.069457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Vanderbilt44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Tennessee54c467.3$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.349947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a2…4a13backed Vanderbilt52c442.31$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Tennessee57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.856844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b6…917abacked Tennessee48c416.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-78.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tennessee8c406$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Tennessee6c379.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.814358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Vanderbilt44c353.89$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.891968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0d…2712backed Tennessee57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…4009backed Tennessee58c344.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Tennessee38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Tennessee49c296.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Tennessee56c290.81$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8510851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Tennessee55c275.57$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.051127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabf2…27c1backed Vanderbilt37c272.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c99…82fbbacked Tennessee55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Vanderbilt39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.415028%14 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Tennessee59c254.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503920.5%8 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Vanderbilt80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…82b4backed Tennessee56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee59c245.64$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9326940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Vanderbilt42c240.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4811854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Vanderbilt43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.569154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Vanderbilt43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd3…6cf5backed Vanderbilt45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.