AI · resolved market
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeef60f2c3ee6c4de28a61afcfcb909a67ea3a656961d49a5d250d52832c19da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca67…b50cbacked Yes | 3c | 35,356$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…dce7backed Yes | 1c | 21,252$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +413.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 14,596$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.16 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…1412backed Yes | 3c | 13,397$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 18c | 10,589$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…b578backed Yes | 7c | 10,187$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…645fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 5c | 9,117$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.63 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 8,679$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 11c | 7,930$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.72 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 10c | 6,474$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.68 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…09b0backed Yes | 5c | 5,642$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…e262backed Yes | 19c | 5,245$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…c495backed Yes | 5c | 5,154$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,126$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,118$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 22c | 4,933$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…ba35backed Yes | 1c | 4,740$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 8c | 4,604$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.38 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 4,282$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,247$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.32 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 4,126$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…309cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,947$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 4c | 3,545$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,447$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c5…b393backed Yes | 36c | 3,290$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…8dfbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,258$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…6d6cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,180$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb607…0c75backed Yes | 10c | 3,125$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 1c | 2,884$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…8ccbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,852$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…e0afbacked Yes | 4c | 2,368$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…ad82backed Yes | 4c | 2,346$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9096…5984backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 4c | 2,175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2171…924bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,152$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 1,985$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…445cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,902$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 23c | 1,888$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.86 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 25c | 1,850$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 6c | 1,792$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 4c | 1,716$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…957bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,692$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…c0eebacked Yes | 17c | 1,512$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…6c52backed Yes | 4c | 1,397$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 1,344$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,328$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…611dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,312$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…b035backed Yes | 8c | 1,295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 6c | 1,268$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 12c | 1,260$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…7033backed Yes | 2c | 1,204$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…7232backed Yes | 1c | 1,152$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 5c | 1,146$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…6dbabacked Yes | 12c | 1,111$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…35febacked Yes | 6c | 1,078$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed No | 76c | 1,046$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,033$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 9c | 1,026$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…ae83backed Yes | 5c | 1,012$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…7e9cbacked Yes | 16c | 999.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Yes | 6c | 910.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 3c | 891.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…df52backed Yes | 10c | 859.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Yes | 4c | 816.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…d193backed Yes | 8c | 802.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…f48dbacked Yes | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…9da0backed Yes | 2c | 781.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 4c | 779.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 4c | 775$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…02c5backed Yes | 5c | 738.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…c4a9backed Yes | 1c | 720$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…1528backed Yes | 6c | 695.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…78c1backed Yes | 6c | 673.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…25dbbacked Yes | 3c | 669.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…64bdbacked Yes | 5c | 659.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…b1f5backed Yes | 12c | 628.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…4903backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…886fbacked Yes | 14c | 599.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Yes | 10c | 596.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…91d0backed Yes | 3c | 587.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…de35backed Yes | 7c | 550.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…b03ebacked Yes | 4c | 547.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…1bcbbacked Yes | 5c | 543.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 10c | 541.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?this page
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 14 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 15 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 16 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 27 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.