AI · resolved market
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5a61a388dd2ecb9e992c400e302ad245853d0d290d89f01aafdc87df5cec5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef9…7033backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 14,448$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 4c | 12,029$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 10,788$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…598abacked Yes | 2c | 10,021$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 8,650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…a900backed Yes | 3c | 7,623$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…b50cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,304$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…445cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,442$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 4c | 6,361$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,140$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 3c | 4,910$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,651$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,486$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 3c | 4,444$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 9c | 3,818$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…09b0backed Yes | 3c | 3,755$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 3,679$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb607…0c75backed Yes | 8c | 3,677$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 2c | 3,397$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,050$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…e2c5backed Yes | 3c | 2,922$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…ae83backed Yes | 3c | 2,636$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 0c | 2,623$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,361$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,260$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed Yes | 3c | 2,204$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 1c | 2,124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 1c | 2,004$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…8dfbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…0444backed Yes | 2c | 1,987$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 2c | 1,900$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed Yes | 11c | 1,781$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,774$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 3c | 1,558$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…b035backed Yes | 7c | 1,519$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…df52backed Yes | 5c | 1,474$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 3c | 1,466$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 3c | 1,284$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 4c | 1,277$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5369…aac5backed Yes | 6c | 1,169$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…791fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,147$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cb…2b12backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…a8fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,081$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…992dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Yes | 3c | 999.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 4c | 999.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Yes | 2c | 812.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Yes | 3c | 778.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…78c1backed Yes | 5c | 716.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b2…23fdbacked Yes | 8c | 714.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…6c52backed Yes | 7c | 695.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…8ccbbacked Yes | 5c | 671.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Yes | 8c | 660.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…1b02backed Yes | 8c | 632.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…f48dbacked Yes | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…25dbbacked Yes | 2c | 599.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Yes | 2c | 552.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 3c | 540.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 4c | 519.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…72dcbacked Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…1528backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…e2a9backed Yes | 3c | 464.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…07d9backed Yes | 3c | 457.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7199…96cebacked Yes | 11c | 449.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…9868backed Yes | 5c | 437.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…183cbacked Yes | 2c | 423.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 5c | 418.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…a727backed Yes | 3c | 397.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed Yes | 8c | 380$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…b046backed Yes | 3c | 355.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…9a1fbacked Yes | 6c | 352.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11af…0864backed Yes | 4c | 335.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 5c | 317.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc0…8126backed Yes | 6c | 307.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…e0c2backed Yes | 5c | 306.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9096…5984backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 4c | 251.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…b03ebacked Yes | 8c | 240.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 5c | 212.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…3352backed Yes | 6c | 189.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…21f7backed Yes | 11c | 186.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…3e35backed Yes | 11c | 176.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…b9e3backed Yes | 10c | 157.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…de01backed Yes | 10c | 128.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…5aecbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?this page
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 14 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 15 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 16 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 27 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?No won
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.