World Politics · resolved market
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c22645688614e2b552b771e8efcf34802d4dab06c3c28e357815cfd40c857e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 11c | 68,373$7,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,545.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 4c | 20,087$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.08 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Yes | 4c | 19,693$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 4c | 18,208$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.91 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 5c | 17,253$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.58 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…de7ebacked Yes | 3c | 15,029$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 11c | 13,679$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 31c | 11,034$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.91 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…846cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 9,454$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…641fbacked Yes | 7c | 8,837$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 2c | 7,754$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…3d88backed Yes | 6c | 6,123$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…3dfabacked Yes | 4c | 5,837$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 48c | 5,242$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.68 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 6c | 5,047$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 5,011$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.18 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 4,920$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…847abacked Yes | 13c | 4,823$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed Yes | 5c | 4,679$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 5c | 4,580$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…5d07backed Yes | 4c | 4,449$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…444dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,914$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +183%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3964…a3a0backed Yes | 6c | 3,874$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…e170backed Yes | 8c | 3,748$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…3eb4backed Yes | 5c | 3,100$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 5c | 3,071$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…d092backed Yes | 27c | 3,050$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0546…cce5backed Yes | 6c | 2,886$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 7c | 2,764$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 2c | 2,711$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 7c | 2,589$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 4c | 2,577$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,564$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 3c | 2,491$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 3c | 2,353$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 7c | 2,270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,257$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…0704backed Yes | 45c | 2,204$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…a3b7backed Yes | 5c | 2,058$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2b…31f8backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7663backed Yes | 7c | 1,990$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…7b4fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,969$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…0aabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,930$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…18fbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,882$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…c32bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,854$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…1cc6backed Yes | 2c | 1,818$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…315bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,722$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 5c | 1,706$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…30e8backed Yes | 7c | 1,701$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 4c | 1,688$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 7c | 1,611$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,544$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 7c | 1,520$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 1,519$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…da21backed Yes | 5c | 1,508$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…2b4dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,453$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…19d4backed Yes | 5c | 1,415$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…b7bfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,384$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 31c | 1,341$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.14 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 6c | 1,333$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 43c | 1,261$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.1 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…65a5backed Yes | 8c | 1,245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…84ccbacked Yes | 8c | 1,203$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…c24cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,128$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…7ffebacked Yes | 6c | 1,116$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…b3f8backed Yes | 9c | 1,110$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 9c | 1,108$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…f2b6backed Yes | 11c | 1,106$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a4…f692backed Yes | 6c | 1,101$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,060$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6228…96f3backed Yes | 9c | 1,043$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…113dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,041$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…0f6abacked Yes | 2c | 999.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…58b7backed Yes | 3c | 996.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 5c | 965.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb0…02bfbacked No | 80c | 957.79$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 5c | 899.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 5c | 885$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…0ad0backed Yes | 2c | 883.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 850.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 35c | 820.2$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 15c | 820.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 5c | 795.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 31c | 751.83$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…e056backed Yes | 10c | 750.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e2…3e8abacked Yes | 3c | 734.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 6c | 721.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 9c | 711.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…dd3dbacked Yes | 4c | 704.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…ec48backed Yes | 4c | 703.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 32c | 700$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…8f6ebacked Yes | 3c | 678.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c52…22fabacked Yes | 7c | 646.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 10c | 638$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 6c | 623.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 17c | 613.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…c5e4backed Yes | 4c | 609.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Eduardo Artés win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.