World Politics · resolved market
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a1462e83c415194ac700181bd97f97db149fdcfa4fd3fef745795cfe3ad975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,308,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,482,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,308,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 8c | 43,397$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 4c | 29,848$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.05 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 4c | 27,994$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.93 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 8c | 24,420$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.93 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 20,839$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.78 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked No | 5c | 15,872$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.1 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 0c | 14,443$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 1c | 14,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…8dfdbacked Yes | 51c | 13,705$6,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked No | 14c | 13,055$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.24 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…847abacked No | 8c | 12,362$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 7c | 12,054$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.05 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 6c | 12,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 2c | 9,685$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8a76backed No | 3c | 9,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked No | 7c | 7,658$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…2f2fbacked No | 6c | 7,291$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 36c | 6,986$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.66 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 4c | 6,628$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…14c4backed No | 6c | 6,286$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…641fbacked No | 7c | 6,100$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 44c | 6,085$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…da21backed No | 7c | 5,268$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 4,775$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.48 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…df0ebacked No | 12c | 4,208$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed No | 5c | 4,195$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 71c | 4,018$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.82 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed No | 7c | 3,625$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 52c | 3,383$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.22 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Yes | 60c | 3,154$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.03 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…181abacked No | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd8…c525backed Yes | 67c | 2,840$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…e170backed No | 9c | 2,833$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…315bbacked No | 10c | 2,759$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked No | 8c | 2,726$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…442fbacked No | 8c | 2,526$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…c32bbacked No | 10c | 2,493$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked No | 8c | 2,350$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 7c | 2,239$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,214$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 17c | 2,213$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.94 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…ab48backed No | 9c | 2,186$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…bc42backed No | 6c | 2,171$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…34f5backed No | 5c | 1,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d8…9c25backed No | 6c | 1,960$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a7…88c8backed No | 6c | 1,870$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…01fdbacked No | 6c | 1,714$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c1…b34bbacked No | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…b4a0backed No | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 56c | 1,470$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.75 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed No | 3c | 1,450$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b6…daa8backed Yes | 67c | 1,449$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed3…ce5dbacked No | 8c | 1,426$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 13c | 1,349$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked No | 7c | 1,331$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,303$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.05 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 7c | 1,216$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…93f1backed Yes | 72c | 1,205$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…92a0backed Yes | 50c | 1,198$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…5226backed No | 8c | 1,187$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 43c | 1,167$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.33 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f93bbacked No | 9c | 1,113$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 1,109$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 7c | 1,093$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 3c | 1,082$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020d…36f0backed No | 6c | 1,080$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 7c | 1,051$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 1,003$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…b48cbacked No | 6c | 1,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +855%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c0…1885backed No | 8c | 999.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 9c | 986.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…6ec6backed No | 34c | 899.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…3f3abacked No | 11c | 870.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…1fd7backed No | 29c | 858.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…ea60backed No | 57c | 849.33$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 61c | 818.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…2264backed No | 6c | 776.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 8c | 775$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 6c | 769.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 9c | 765.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 10c | 759.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…84e3backed Yes | 76c | 672.57$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…1ba1backed Yes | 75c | 667.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 35c | 648.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed No | 5c | 645.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 624$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…ded8backed No | 6c | 606.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked No | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…84ccbacked No | 12c | 599.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 20c | 599.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…906fbacked Yes | 44c | 558.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Eduardo Artés win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.