Movies · resolved market

Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ddd8b663d29088bc85f154ac8b03c85f16695357ccc7ce23660ee596375f17

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $103,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,405 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xeee4…9964backed Yes	22c	2,152$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.65	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes	22c	1,583$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.95	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes	22c	1,284$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.9	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed Yes	22c	1,165$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.55	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafc6…b975backed Yes	28c	1,157$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+145.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No	78c	1,120$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.6	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed Yes	22c	1,109$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.02	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1220…741abacked No	78c	1,051$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.78	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked No	78c	1,048$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.44	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc886…696fbacked Yes	22c	1,043$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$813.54	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked No	78c	1,031$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.87	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes	21c	998$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.42	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No	79c	976$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.41	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	11c	846.11$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.91	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed No	78c	805$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.9	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed Yes	22c	774$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.72	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes	19c	769$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.89	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.27per pick	35cpaid	+74.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed No	77c	767$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.59	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d8…4c30backed Yes	22c	761$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.58	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes	25c	761$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.75	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked Yes	20c	759$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.99	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed Yes	24c	756$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.35	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…e5ecbacked No	78c	748$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.44	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes	18c	708$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.56	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes	22c	706$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.68	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes	22c	657$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.65	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb407…a978backed No	78c	648$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.44	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc1…d40bbacked No	75c	644$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed Yes	20c	641$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.02	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed No	77c	624$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.36	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed Yes	19c	610$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.1	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed No	78c	589$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.42	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7176…6f9fbacked No	75c	586$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.5	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes	23c	585$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.09	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…333fbacked Yes	22c	571$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.38	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcabd…3764backed No	75c	561$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.75	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.7wins	-0.34per pick	43cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	19c	557$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.97	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed Yes	19c	555$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.55	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.23per pick	40cpaid	+118.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed Yes	22c	552$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.56	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed No	78c	546$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.41	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaee…bd71backed Yes	25c	542$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.5	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+73%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6499…05d2backed Yes	22c	540$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.2	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ef…095ebacked No	75c	526$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-50%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked No	78c	506$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.13	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed No	77c	499$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.78	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3702…829dbacked Yes	22c	496$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.88	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes	23c	495$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.15	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes	19c	494$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.14	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes	22c	491$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.07	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72dd…8be4backed Yes	18c	482$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.24	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed No	77c	482$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.14	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa5…2380backed No	75c	482$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked No	77c	479$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.22	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed No	78c	474$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.72	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3c…a29ebacked No	77c	472$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.44	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No	77c	452$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.75	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed No	78c	451$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.72	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes	19c	443$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.83	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed No	79c	435$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.65	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b79…360fbacked Yes	22c	432$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.96	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked Yes	19c	425$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.25	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked No	77c	421$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.17	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes	20c	408$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.17	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes	18c	406$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.92	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes	23c	397$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.69	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes	19c	396$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.76	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e2…85b7backed No	80c	395$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.25	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes	19c	393$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.28	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed No	80c	391$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.8	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1897…c285backed Yes	22c	377$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.06	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked No	78c	354$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.73	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	14c	350$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed Yes	18c	350$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No	78c	342$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.76	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes	20c	336$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.8	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed Yes	23c	306$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.62	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-37%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed No	69c	304$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.76	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes	21c	301$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.79	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+5.7wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes	19c	297$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.57	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed Yes	18c	295$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.9	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…8191backed No	76c	287$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.12	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.28per pick	42cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f3d…9ef2backed No	78c	282$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.96	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes	22c	282$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.96	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked No	78c	280$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.4	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed No	80c	278$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.4	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed Yes	22c	269$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.82	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a8…f658backed Yes	22c	261$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.36	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed Yes	24c	250$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes	25c	246$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.5	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed No	78c	246$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.88	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked No	78c	245$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.1	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked No	79c	240$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.84	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed Yes	25c	240$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722f…f17fbacked No	80c	234$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.2	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed No	80c	232$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.6	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-5.3wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x29ac…9907backed Yes	10c	224$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.37per pick	38cpaid	+238.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes	18c	221$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.22	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd8…8f4bbacked No	75c	218$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.25	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e96…c895backed Yes	18c	211$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.02	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed No	75c	210.09$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.57	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event