Movies · resolved market

Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47f39f17e4b62d1b7c58368dd9f27d0ce008cb94cf5246799c2e0a6a1c7b7349

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 17, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes	2c	20,369$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.68	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+8.8wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes	8c	613.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+22.0wins	+0.23per pick	23cpaid	+88%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes	24c	608$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.84	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.20per pick	44cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes	10c	450$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c2e0backed No	63c	444$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.43	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	37c	442$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.21	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x29ac…9907backed No	64c	437$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.32	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.37per pick	38cpaid	+238.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	50c	421.22$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.44	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e57…6c04backed No	58c	388$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked No	77c	365$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.32	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Yes	13c	312.44$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+97.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5374…952abacked Yes	36c	312$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.32	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed No	58c	303$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.07	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	36c	301.9$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.3	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No	69c	301$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.22	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed Yes	36c	298$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.72	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e4…ef6dbacked Yes	49c	293$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.57	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x130f…fc43backed Yes	36c	264$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes	11c	257.85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.62	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes	41c	252$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.32	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes	42c	252$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.84	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4348…fa2abacked Yes	42c	245$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed No	64c	232$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.52	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	27c	212.6$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.34	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed No	64c	204$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.44	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Yes	42c	204$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.68	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf23e…aec3backed No	64c	203$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.08	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	51c	201.31$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.06	184	44%81 W · 103 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…a152backed Yes	36c	198$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.28	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes	36c	186$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.96	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0caf…e065backed No	58c	182$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91af…95c8backed No	62c	181$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.78	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.19per pick	39cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe918…d166backed Yes	36c	174$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.64	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed No	64c	163$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.68	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No	64c	163$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.68	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6e…88adbacked Yes	36c	161$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.96	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06cd…e124backed Yes	37c	156$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8ad4backed No	65c	153$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.06	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No	71c	136$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.54	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	34c	135.53$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.96	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes	36c	130$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10bc…0451backed No	54c	130$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes	46c	130$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed Yes	33c	126.52$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.36	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No	63c	114$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.43	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed No	59c	112$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.92	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked No	64c	112$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.32	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe732…d68ebacked No	64c	111$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.96	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc895…9bfabacked No	64c	105$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.04	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e55…59d2backed Yes	35c	102.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.86	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2f…a8aabacked Yes	36c	102$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed Yes	39c	98$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-44%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d4d…b46ebacked No	64c	97$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.92	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff7…a220backed Yes	36c	96$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4406…5eafbacked No	58c	90$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed Yes	34c	86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x290d…9e42backed No	66c	86$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.24	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc666…7130backed Yes	38c	83$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes	49c	81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	157	39.5%62 W · 95 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…f00ebacked No	64c	80$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c92…4744backed No	51c	80$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd091…e046backed Yes	29c	80$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-64%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	38c	78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	237	51.9%123 W · 114 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed Yes	36c	75$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dc5…d5f6backed No	61c	74$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.01	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed Yes	36c	71.01$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed No	58c	70$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed No	64c	64$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked Yes	42c	62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes	24c	61.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf071…cbcbbacked Yes	55c	61.59$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.09	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa67…4585backed No	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes	38c	60$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47eb…8195backed No	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d2…ea1dbacked No	56c	57$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.27	10	60%6 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	36c	55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed No	62c	55$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.1	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed No	55c	54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.27	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…0b1ebacked No	59c	53$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.73	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes	36c	53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5056…f991backed Yes	41c	53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes	55c	51$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.05	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked No	61c	48$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	63c	42$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.34	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	37c	42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	140	15%21 W · 119 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40a2…84f1backed No	51c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.15	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed No	58c	33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.86	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	38c	32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed Yes	44c	32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d36…06edbacked No	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507c…5016backed No	60c	26$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.46	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No	60c	25.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.14	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd44…1837backed No	64c	24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d26…c9f4backed No	64c	24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.1	138	51.4%71 W · 67 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03fe…b465backed No	61c	18.42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked No	61c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.61	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Architecton be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Deaf President Now! be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Selena y Los Dinos be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event