Movies · resolved market
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa48a96c82d6f3ea2704e439bcca5c3c589fd3e5e3ce3023a37306e0cbaa58b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked No | 4c | 1,585$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 36c | 1,489$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.97 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 59c | 1,395$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.12 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed Yes | 34c | 1,336$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 66c | 1,198$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 59c | 1,105$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.24 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 42c | 799.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.99 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d86fbacked Yes | 42c | 741.95$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 75c | 710$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked No | 66c | 702$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 27c | 687$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 33c | 685$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 25c | 658$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 66c | 647$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 40c | 614.09$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.13 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 58c | 555.83$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.02 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 73c | 540$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 34c | 523$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked No | 66c | 523$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 57c | 479.25$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed No | 67c | 474$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 43c | 428$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 32c | 402.43$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.12 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 31c | 400$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.28 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 34c | 390$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed No | 66c | 389$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 41c | 364.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 58c | 359.66$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 34c | 358$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 27c | 353$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 36c | 350$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…dc50backed No | 71c | 344.24$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed Yes | 35c | 338.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 73c | 338$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 27c | 338$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 73c | 335$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 60c | 334.58$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 34c | 317$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.22 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 73c | 314$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 27c | 314$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 43c | 310$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 292.51$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.31 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 66c | 285.58$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 41c | 281.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 34c | 273$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 67c | 248$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…be97backed Yes | 32c | 240.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 43c | 233.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 34c | 231$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 66c | 225$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Yes | 34c | 202$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed No | 62c | 190$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 27c | 187$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 73c | 186$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked No | 66c | 184$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 69c | 174.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 58c | 168.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 164.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…0512backed Yes | 50c | 143.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 137.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 124.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 66c | 117$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked Yes | 41c | 110.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 45c | 110.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 44c | 105.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 40c | 102.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 42c | 98.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…ad5bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…c03abacked Yes | 74c | 82.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 39c | 80.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 56c | 79.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…30dabacked Yes | 32c | 77.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 79c | 68.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 38c | 66.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Yes | 29c | 60.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked No | 58c | 60.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 59.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 27c | 59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 29c | 57.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…8f2ebacked Yes | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…c453backed Yes | 40c | 51.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…b5d1backed Yes | 28c | 51.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…4eb8backed Yes | 42c | 47.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50e…27a5backed Yes | 59c | 45.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86cf…a6cdbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f3…2ef3backed Yes | 44c | 30.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…e168backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "No Other Choice" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "Sirāt" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "The Voice of Hind Rajab" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.