Movies · resolved market
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d8659ab687e57e31fdfa2117f3dad3c44c0e061ed727679ff708c392dba525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 28c | 1,294$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 74c | 927.27$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 27c | 884$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 74c | 858$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed No | 73c | 812$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 74c | 807$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked Yes | 25c | 801.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 72c | 796$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 33c | 759.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 26c | 735$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 74c | 735$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 25c | 692$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked Yes | 26c | 686$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 74c | 667$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 26c | 632$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed No | 74c | 621$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…cfc1backed No | 73c | 595$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 73c | 591$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked No | 75c | 577$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 27c | 515$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Yes | 27c | 513$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 74c | 509$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 27c | 506$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 75c | 497$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 75c | 483$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 26c | 482$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 26c | 445$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 72c | 442$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed No | 74c | 436$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 26c | 426$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed Yes | 26c | 422$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 26c | 413$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 62c | 405.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 25c | 399.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 63c | 397.04$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 26c | 396$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 24c | 392$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 76c | 392$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 74c | 373$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6a…5522backed Yes | 29c | 341.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 73c | 324$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d66ebacked Yes | 26c | 323.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 25c | 316$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 25c | 285$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 284.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 72c | 276$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 26c | 271$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 27c | 266$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed Yes | 26c | 238$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 74c | 238$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 27c | 220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed No | 73c | 212$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked No | 74c | 205$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 199.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 26c | 199$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 73c | 185$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes | 25c | 181$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 26c | 173$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 60c | 149.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 74c | 148$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 67c | 135.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 27c | 121$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 26c | 121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…00cdbacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 29c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed Yes | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 117.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…d368backed No | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 29c | 104.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 73c | 104$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 23c | 103.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 26c | 103$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 26c | 99.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 73c | 99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 73c | 86.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked No | 75c | 74.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 71c | 71.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Yes | 25c | 58.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…d1f1backed No | 74c | 58.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…60b1backed Yes | 26c | 53.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…6554backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 76c | 49.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…19f5backed Yes | 26c | 46.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…6899backed Yes | 28c | 44.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…68fabacked Yes | 28c | 43.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked No | 78c | 39.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…9ed0backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 70c | 37.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 22.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…6af7backed No | 74c | 21.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…b973backed No | 74c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "No Other Choice" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "Sirāt" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes won
- Will "The Voice of Hind Rajab" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.