TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa398…6c83backed Spurs61c35,806$21,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,751.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Knicks40c23,222$9,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,933.3112540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks40c13,405$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,049.3918651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks39c9,999$3,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,066.2911447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks39c7,324$2,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs60c7,311$4,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,386.4264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Spurs61c4,108$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Spurs60c3,896$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.745240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs59c2,984$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks40c2,869$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.351,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62d…c8ccbacked Knicks79c2,504$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.181353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs38c2,090$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.3553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs60c1,935$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Spurs59c1,863$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.2464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d231backed Spurs61c1,629$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs56c1,214$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.5619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks39c1,162$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.825657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs48c1,078$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks40c819.05$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.941,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks52c810.5$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.981,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Spurs6c765.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.081225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Knicks40c721.93$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.164946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs76c669.49$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.421,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs60c489.34$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8613161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs16c429.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.69853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks39c420$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.225954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs19c399.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.917237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Spurs64c387.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Spurs15c350$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs68c341.09$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Knicks40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Spurs41c324.7$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs7c300.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Spurs18c300$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.516640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs20c300$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks34c279.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Spurs19c270$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1eb…9d42backed Knicks40c248.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs48c244.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87af…08e8backed Knicks41c241.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks31c231.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.918140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2296…78ecbacked Spurs60c226.48$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Knicks45c217.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.353339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Spurs13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs9c191.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.169956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc729…d7b6backed Knicks41c188$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.921566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs66c180$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.819548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29e6…0bd1backed Spurs60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-76.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f34…7bc8backed Spurs60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505d…6c61backed Spurs59c159.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.051428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.523441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks34c149$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3417946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs28c146.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.671,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks40c143$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks31c133.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7127245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks32c123.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Spurs60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Knicks42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs28c108.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Spurs61c106.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.253339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs14c103.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.825045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Spurs60c102$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6060049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1336243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Knicks53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4745544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs70c86.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5f…b904backed Spurs60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Spurs60c75.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks30c74.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Spurs61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.746346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Spurs60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs59c52.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3118941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1024…9651backed Spurs60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306750.7%34 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs59c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks30c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs43c44.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2933030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs42c44.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.552,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs60c42.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Spurs60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs76c37.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.541,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…ab7dbacked Spurs61c35.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Knicks41c35.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.949046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Spurs60c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Spurs61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaca…23d7backed Spurs59c30.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.763333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e44…5919backed Knicks40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+597.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs58c23.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8172250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Spurs69c20.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.174151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Spurs60c19.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.532653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Spurs71c18.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4111364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs75c18.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.782532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x95c6…64edbacked Spurs61c18.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d3f…c002backed Spurs59c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9260…7a42backed Spurs61c17.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.924355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.