NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12768793806f18dd643a17010d89f0d9ac1f1d502d03ec3ffe87287a55721634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 68c | 10,315$7,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.8 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 31c | 8,908$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.17 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 30c | 8,069$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.99 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 55c | 3,472$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.8 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 3,057$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.32 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 2,731$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 19c | 1,729$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.83 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 1,648$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.51 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Under | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 1,039$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 32c | 999$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Over | 36c | 721$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 77c | 652.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 32c | 507.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.02 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 23c | 500.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.08 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 40c | 405.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 350$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed Under | 20c | 320.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +7.1wins | +0.55per pick | 38cpaid | +211.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 56c | 312.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 48c | 305.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 26c | 303.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 38c | 276.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 37c | 275.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 36c | 254.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 19c | 245.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 35c | 243.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Over | 42c | 239.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 61c | 192.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 46c | 186.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 183$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 34c | 168.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 49c | 154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 35c | 140.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 117.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 38c | 101.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 101.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 33c | 100.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…05e8backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Under | 61c | 85.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Under | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…4216backed Over | 80c | 68.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Under | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 19c | 65.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 19c | 55.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…932ebacked Under | 69c | 55.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 54c | 55.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 46c | 52.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…d77abacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 68c | 44.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 35c | 42.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 42c | 27.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 23.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 61c | 22.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Under | 62c | 22.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Under | 62c | 22.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 48c | 21.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 38 | 94.7%36 W · 2 L | +14.0wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Under | 62c | 18.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.