NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa873a03b524aab9169aadb61b5df07b30bb98472e88fe2272a3188bcb2a8afb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…dbc7backed Under | 37c | 1,339$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 37c | 1,192$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 37c | 1,157$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.17 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 66c | 1,057$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Over | 3c | 931.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 62c | 660.37$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.43 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 641.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 65c | 614.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 33c | 551.04$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.19 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 65c | 542.42$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 535.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Over | 65c | 464.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 63c | 412.7$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 6c | 350.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 15c | 293.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 35c | 288.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 38c | 233.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 35c | 193.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 47c | 180$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 174.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…42b2backed Over | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 35c | 111.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…77bbbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 14c | 104.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 45c | 94.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 13c | 81.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 64c | 78.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 55c | 68.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 66c | 68.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 37c | 45.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 35c | 42.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 37c | 37.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 36c | 32.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…9b8abacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Under | 38c | 26.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 63c | 22.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 94.7%36 W · 2 L | +14.0wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…85e4backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.