TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,950 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Under61c2,578$1,563 inWon+$1,014.9464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over42c1,985$840 inLost-$840.146233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over12c1,644$194 inLost-$193.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under58c1,048$607 inWon+$440.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under59c1,017$600 inWon+$416.9524159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over21c1,000$210 inLost-$2101,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over41c667.33$274 inLost-$273.611,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over42c474.2$198 inLost-$197.9130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c387$221 inWon+$166.411,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under58c346$201 inWon+$145.321,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under57c328.76$189 inWon+$14025954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Over42c315.48$132 inLost-$132.54746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under58c256.98$149 inWon+$107.935358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Over22c240.9$53 inLost-$531957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over12c231.79$28 inLost-$27.5718140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under58c205.44$119 inWon+$86.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.497940.5%32 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1187…20c4backed Under59c166.54$98 inWon+$68.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over23c109.56$25 inLost-$25.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over40c100$40 inLost-$4010747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c80.58$47 inWon+$33.8452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over26c79$21 inLost-$20.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Over43c70.47$30 inLost-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost-$209844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c35.36$21 inWon+$14.851,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e6…83a4backed Under58c27.34$16 inWon+$11.488453.6%45 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd662…aeb5backed Under58c25.14$15 inWon+$10.562576%19 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Over42c25$11 inLost-$10.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over42c25$10 inLost-$10.382147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under64c20$13 inWon+$7.23894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.