TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,979 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x228b…af4cbacked Under43c2,290$993 inWon+$1,297.161,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c1,975$826 inLost-$826.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c1,132$531 inWon+$600.5655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over80c625$500 inLost-$50021574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over78c541.77$423 inLost-$423.0864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Over79c506.51$400 inLost-$4004854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over10c485.4$49 inLost-$48.5484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75f2…2a5dbacked Over64c462.05$296 inLost-$295.712842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under20c397.7$80 inWon+$318.161,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under47c199.99$95 inWon+$104.9925340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over19c187.97$35 inLost-$35.129956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over24c178.03$43 inLost-$43.4318140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under45c132.47$60 inWon+$72.232654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over79c126.58$100 inLost-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over23c125.61$29 inLost-$28.754736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over46c105.38$49 inLost-$48.6518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae10…16c4backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost-$304431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7752…8681backed Over58c51.72$30 inLost-$302462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b9…6d67backed Under53c36.98$20 inWon+$17.383894.7%36 W · 2 L+14.0wins+0.37per pick58cpaid+70.5%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Over47c36.98$17 inLost-$17.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over77c30.91$24 inLost-$23.9541038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Over80c17.32$14 inLost-$13.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.