NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03d2db584473f35ed53c393b4c75ac844337987abe15e4396a2b56f4f5ec09f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21b7…8daebacked Over | 46c | 29,912$13,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,644.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 15,805$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,161.09 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 9,597$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 6,628$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.28 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Over | 44c | 5,005$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 2,319$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.14 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Over | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 1,678$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 1,223$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.9 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 1,206$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.51 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 55c | 1,119$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.55 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,101$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over | 45c | 1,001$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.46 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 824$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.12 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 755.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 46c | 635.71$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 459.89$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 433.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 46c | 426$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 409.74$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 247$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 225.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 55c | 195.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 45c | 177.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 44c | 150.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 13c | 134.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 75c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 55c | 108.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 60.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094c…c7a7backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 56c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 67c | 37.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…3329backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…4366backed Under | 56c | 35.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 35.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Under | 56c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…74fcbacked Under | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…8ec6backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 38 | 94.7%36 W · 2 L | +14.0wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.