TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb17…3329

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$72.54
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$98.37
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$13.97
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$9.7
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$8.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$8.2
La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$26.88
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$19.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.