TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes75c30,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,50031349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No25c14,179$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,633.948153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c8,268$5,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,152.791,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes62c7,862$4,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.181,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c7,175$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.568,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes52c4,508$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.595,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes28c2,685$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes75c2,500$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8753531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No26c2,254$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.920053%106 W · 94 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x586a…6610backed No25c2,025$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No25c1,793$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.734753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Yes75c1,320$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902556%14 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No25c1,280$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.1442250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes63c1,204$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4325866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No24c1,200$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.911,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Yes61c906.19$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.633243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes46c856.96$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.768452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No45c705.58$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.3299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes76c634.21$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48213257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No32c587.97$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.228026.3%21 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes24c521.08$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No25c520$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39016559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No26c520$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No25c499.94$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.951,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No25c476.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.722,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes54c453.77$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3620138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No26c443.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5216558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes76c430$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.88660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes63c397.66$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.911,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes63c383.37$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.527745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes76c354.95$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.762462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Yes75c342.28$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.712466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No76c327.23$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9426745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No25c304.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2618358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb6…f7b3backed Yes74c304.05$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes63c301.08$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.689148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes75c298.35$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No26c281.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.64785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes74c217$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.543647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0444…55a5backed Yes23c208.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.871233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Yes64c207.53$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.314553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c203.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.883,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No53c200.71$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3321132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes21c197.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes75c186.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No26c182.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.221,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No33c177.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.532,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No26c173$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0212757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Yes74c169.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes71c169.01$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No30c165.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.568444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes25c163$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2651945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No26c160$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes23c140.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1521640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No57c137.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c136.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed No74c135.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.331573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes72c127.78$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes54c124.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.851,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes74c119.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No24c117.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.633,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c117.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed Yes50c116.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x586f…b928backed Yes76c114.39$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No27c113.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Yes75c109.21$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No25c105.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes26c100.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3541145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No26c99.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yes26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No24c99.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4716347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes57c83.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Yes75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed No38c78.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.642965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Yes74c77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.852152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes73c76.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.555164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes75c75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3443…64e9backed Yes62c64.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes65c64.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8960%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed No34c64.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.243158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02de…247fbacked Yes74c63.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x147d…61c6backed Yes37c62.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d91…6816backed Yes19c62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.622133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No42c61.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9319264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes33c59.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes37c59.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed No25c57.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.872846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a25…738cbacked Yes63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.