TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a25…738c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-37.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$21.49
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$31.21
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.05
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Abacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.76
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$9.91
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Dbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.13
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.94
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$19.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$9.03
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
CA Mineiro vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.73
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.36
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.47
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$23.84
CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.13
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.38
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)backed Grêmio FBPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+52%+$14.15
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.1
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.01
Will CF América win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.06
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-52.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.