CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71429bc6f663ec4e8fbf9567c3185a8240d7a49494625fe3a6fa18843084d6d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexaof Yawara Esports, Vexa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Yawara Esports | 18c | 998.13$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Vexa | 17c | 588.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.22 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Vexa | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Vexa | 65c | 493.1$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Vexa | 18c | 379.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.59 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vexa | 48c | 202.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vexa | 55c | 192.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 184.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Vexa | 63c | 178.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…809cbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 115.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Vexa | 18c | 112.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…8799backed Vexa | 18c | 100.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Yawara Esports | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Vexa | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Yawara Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Yawara Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Vexa | 78c | 91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…e516backed Vexa | 56c | 89.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Vexa | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vexa | 47c | 56.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Vexa | 54c | 46.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Vexa | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Vexa | 75c | 33.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Vexa | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…f8ddbacked Vexa | 41c | 28.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked Yawara Esports | 67c | 26.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Yawara Esports | 66c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ff3ebacked Vexa | 67c | 16.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Vexa - Map 1 WinnerVexa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.