South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c0219fe3231eb77bcc798da0d24859e148944678ed45ce8a883437c921fe35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,928$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 1,336$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.21 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 33c | 1,167$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 835.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 3c | 477.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 376.02$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 213.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 17c | 180$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…7024backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…b686backed No | 75c | 120.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 31c | 91.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 81.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 71.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 71.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 32c | 57.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked Yes | 36c | 32.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 67c | 29.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…4484backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 25.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…02e5backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 68c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.