South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13f493a72c7c6c3bdd494d381e53ab4a1b90bbd8bc10f0b8108c965a63d0b188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Yes | 50c | 12,413$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 7,726$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 5,189$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 2,146$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.37 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 1,209$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.02 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked No | 31c | 988$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Yes | 50c | 814$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 3c | 658.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 54c | 555.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.75 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 452.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 65c | 430$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 53c | 240.34$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 45c | 222.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 64c | 206.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed No | 53c | 187.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 54c | 182.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 32c | 172.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 162.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 157.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 64c | 156.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…7024backed Yes | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 76c | 144.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 125.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 69c | 101.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 31c | 85.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 51c | 83.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 43c | 80.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 77c | 65.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…c74bbacked Yes | 75c | 65.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 64.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 54.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 76c | 53.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 29c | 46.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 66c | 45.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 49c | 41.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 27c | 40.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…503abacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 62c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 51c | 23.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 48c | 20.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…02e5backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…2feabacked Yes | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.