TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes49c169,999$83,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,250.5429446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c54,991$34,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,896.478,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c29,194$14,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,267.495,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No51c11,939$6,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.035543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c7,724$3,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.431,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c7,016$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.693,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No51c7,016$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No51c6,594$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2316357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No51c4,748$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.5242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No51c4,457$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.863148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c4,292$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.051,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No51c3,508$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.7541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c3,501$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.471,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked No51c1,995$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c1,375$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.751,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c1,244$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.851,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No51c1,225$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.497959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58813059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.4227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No51c980.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3827549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c867.35$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.51,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c822.78$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.991,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39219559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes47c742.34$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.919144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34316558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No51c660$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29424053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No51c525.02$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2610467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.130754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes21c475.71$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7826745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c430.15$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.192,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No54c417.09$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.532,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No51c368$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14723056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes25c297.8$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4510922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No56c289$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.771,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c265.53$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.742,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked No51c241.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.211650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.616559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No51c237.64$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.444969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c228.83$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.051,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No61c213$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0420958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Yes50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9824956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9818358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No51c170.14$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No76c169.56$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2934155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes22c162.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No55c160.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6957157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No77c143.26$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.621657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.620360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No54c127.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.697748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No51c121.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.375862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes20c118.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8412755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No63c103.34$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.495764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d7…47cbbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.512544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.021,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c93.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No51c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1217255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No50c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.55855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No76c80.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32576%19 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.215560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4338861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4311858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No51c78.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No65c74.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9425866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes19c71.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4425044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No51c60.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7812948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No58c60.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.288961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No52c58.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1270055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7e…9b98backed No51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes24c57.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c52.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.621,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes27c51.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146814.7%10 W · 58 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe71b…2631backed Yes50c43.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed No70c42.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.514271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.615359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes44c39.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.167950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x963f…4487backed No77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes47c38.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.165650%28 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.