CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f154324583b8915da0391ec022834ae2a6d6746394e905ff867493ccedb567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof Lilmix, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f27…4fb3backed G2 Ares | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed G2 Ares | 57c | 599.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed G2 Ares | 55c | 554.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.74 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Lilmix | 49c | 473.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 51c | 456.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.08 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Ares | 52c | 437.58$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 54c | 367$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Lilmix | 45c | 341.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Lilmix | 50c | 337$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Lilmix | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 45c | 294.89$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Lilmix | 45c | 292.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Lilmix | 52c | 211.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Lilmix | 46c | 208$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Lilmix | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked G2 Ares | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Lilmix | 43c | 187.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Lilmix | 45c | 182.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed G2 Ares | 59c | 168.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed G2 Ares | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…1373backed Lilmix | 57c | 140.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked G2 Ares | 68c | 130.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Lilmix | 61c | 127.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 35c | 123.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Lilmix | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…4171backed Lilmix | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lilmix | 46c | 99.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked G2 Ares | 64c | 98.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Lilmix | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Lilmix | 40c | 87.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec8…0ddfbacked Lilmix | 62c | 85.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed G2 Ares | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 44c | 82.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Lilmix | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…c9d4backed Lilmix | 67c | 74.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Lilmix | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed G2 Ares | 48c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Lilmix | 30c | 64.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Lilmix | 49c | 60.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed G2 Ares | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 55.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked G2 Ares | 61c | 54.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Lilmix | 36c | 52.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Lilmix | 38c | 50.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Lilmix | 36c | 46.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Lilmix | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Lilmix | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 29c | 38.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed G2 Ares | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Ares | 70c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 63c | 30.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 30.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked G2 Ares | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Lilmix | 45c | 28.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lilmix | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Lilmix | 78c | 27.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…d6dfbacked Lilmix | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Lilmix | 56c | 24.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 230 | 37.8%87 W · 143 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9f06backed Lilmix | 71c | 22.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…009fbacked Lilmix | 70c | 21.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 19.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Lilmix | 66c | 18.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerLilmix won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.