CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0131a9969abe802bd131d529e5d6e66a62607e71c06da626b0e533a51a54aff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALGO Esportsof ASTRAL, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x300b…8e51backed ASTRAL | 27c | 1,100$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.31 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed ASTRAL | 18c | 811.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL | 28c | 378.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ALGO Esports | 67c | 367.12$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ASTRAL | 51c | 349.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed ASTRAL | 32c | 333$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed ALGO Esports | 69c | 301.45$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ALGO Esports | 76c | 205.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ALGO Esports | 65c | 195.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALGO Esports | 70c | 186.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 57c | 178.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ALGO Esports | 56c | 170.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ALGO Esports | 56c | 165$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked ALGO Esports | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 34c | 148.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed ALGO Esports | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ALGO Esports | 64c | 119.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed ALGO Esports | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked ASTRAL | 44c | 106.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…41a6backed ALGO Esports | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL | 37c | 82.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ALGO Esports | 71c | 79.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ASTRAL | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed ASTRAL | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ASTRAL | 29c | 52.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed ALGO Esports | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked ASTRAL | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ALGO Esports | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ALGO Esports | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed ALGO Esports | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALGO Esports | 65c | 21.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALGO Esports | 70c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked ALGO Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked ALGO Esports | 72c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed ALGO Esports | 63c | 15.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…d317backed ALGO Esports | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ALGO Esports | 71c | 14.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group BALGO Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 WinnerALGO Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.