TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ALGO Esportsof ASTRAL, ALGO Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed ASTRAL62c5,500$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.9666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed ALGO Esports38c1,618$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.425242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ALGO Esports79c1,139$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0978043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked ASTRAL34c1,128$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6914742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed ALGO Esports37c956.33$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.0646243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed ALGO Esports38c738.4$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.819549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb18…2571backed ALGO Esports38c723.68$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.681560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed ALGO Esports38c663.16$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.164055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL39c632.14$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.634,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ASTRAL15c602.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.73,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed ALGO Esports38c597$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.4833627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ALGO Esports38c530$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed ALGO Esports40c510$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed ASTRAL60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL19c454.88$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.814,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALGO Esports38c447.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed ASTRAL32c393.68$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7716550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed ASTRAL62c388.6$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9361154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked ALGO Esports37c322.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL19c316.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.854,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked ASTRAL65c305.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed ALGO Esports69c298.29$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3720750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed ASTRAL32c288$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3348635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ALGO Esports37c258.1$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1277351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed ALGO Esports38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15513738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed ASTRAL63c212.26$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0716346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL62c211.77$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.32,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked ALGO Esports74c209.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3917246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed ASTRAL63c199.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9940155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL15c183.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.532,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ALGO Esports39c180$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.82,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ALGO Esports37c179.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5591945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL23c172.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.467,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked ASTRAL33c166.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513343.6%58 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed ALGO Esports36c142.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9123335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked ALGO Esports63c142.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6136440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed ALGO Esports70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked ASTRAL32c128.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0245450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed ASTRAL62c126.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3744552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed ALGO Esports33c120.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8149935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ALGO Esports48c119.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.873,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL31c110.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.932,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked ALGO Esports72c109.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.344468.2%30 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbff…b7a7backed ALGO Esports38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.264143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ALGO Esports37c105.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.21,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL16c103.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.413,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed ALGO Esports70c102$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6791743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed ALGO Esports36c100.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.845645.2%206 W · 250 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed ASTRAL63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6341716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked ASTRAL60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed ALGO Esports34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL63c98.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.921,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL31c93.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.492,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10fc…9f06backed ASTRAL56c89.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.553860.5%23 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed ASTRAL31c89.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4924051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc50a…45cabacked ALGO Esports72c83.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL30c73.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.964,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked ASTRAL50c70.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.294645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ALGO Esports77c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked ASTRAL66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017764.4%114 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked ALGO Esports50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed ALGO Esports37c59.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4615347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked ASTRAL59c59.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed ASTRAL24c58.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.826251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked ALGO Esports70c56.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8344675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x290f…0c10backed ALGO Esports37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7d…582abacked ASTRAL28c53.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed ALGO Esports37c52.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3318747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b9b…36f9backed ASTRAL28c46.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed ASTRAL26c42.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9659049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ALGO Esports63c40.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.176,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked ALGO Esports39c40.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…41a6backed ASTRAL26c40.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed ALGO Esports38c37.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1523158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6936…8f48backed ASTRAL64c35.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked ALGO Esports51c28.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed ASTRAL59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7555749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a46…fdf3backed ASTRAL63c24.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.348947.2%42 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed ASTRAL48c22.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9121744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed ALGO Esports74c21.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc620…7a70backed ASTRAL53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.615540%62 W · 93 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked ASTRAL62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.427452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.