TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No45c59,176$26,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,252.4729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c6,169$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.498,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c6,142$3,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.621,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes54c6,074$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2804652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c5,726$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.675,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes54c5,515$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.975543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c3,725$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.533,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Yes54c2,889$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5602544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes50c2,636$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.371,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes54c2,552$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.7630048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes56c2,376$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.2242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes54c2,092$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.62,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02014330.8%44 W · 99 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed No46c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes54c1,533$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.6465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.6423057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes53c1,270$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.5642250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6403345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c1,167$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.493,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c1,109$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.862,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes58c963.71$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.4121844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No45c919.99$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.9922457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No46c844.5$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c770.71$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.011,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes54c760$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.414540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No49c704.45$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.424431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes55c666.42$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.962,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No47c604.65$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.461,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes35c587.24$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9318828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes56c555$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.71,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Yes10c498.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes50c478.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No41c475$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2512757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes53c451.75$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0625866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes53c449.94$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.440%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No43c447$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7913545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes50c400$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.281,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes43c398.16$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7220138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No49c396.83$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3912958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Yes52c391.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.833560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c391.94$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.681,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes54c361.11$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes43c320.93$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes55c269.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.132,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c253.1$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.141,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd089…ea0dbacked Yes54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes54c237.18$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c232.58$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.551,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…78adbacked Yes53c225.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.571457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2231745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes57c217.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.751,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes42c216.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8721640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8218631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No49c198.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.317763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes54c188.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes54c185.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502931%9 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes51c170.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9933266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes54c150.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4517251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.518543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No70c142.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.918660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes39c138.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8325044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.826749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Yes43c112.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.241020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No78c110$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.221132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Yes53c105.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No47c105.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes53c103.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8845253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes54c101.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0216653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No48c101.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.559953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…66f5backed No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No75c99.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2263657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes24c98.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.235754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes51c96.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8142946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes44c94.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e28…c4eebacked Yes54c93.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes54c90.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4510652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No46c84.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7653836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a25…738cbacked Yes54c81.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes44c81.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5441145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.