South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc50c3521334c623f9333495774e6b26211c6d9a79eeeed79b711e3e4881d688b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 19c | 45,772$8,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,555.75 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 4,500$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.06 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 2,089$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.16 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 17c | 1,001$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 13c | 806.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 548.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 80c | 437.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 16c | 375.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Yes | 17c | 285.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…7acbbacked Yes | 17c | 285.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Yes | 16c | 232.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 225$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 203.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 8c | 156.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 17c | 143.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Yes | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 21c | 114.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 108.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 18c | 66.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 80c | 34.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 80c | 28.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 80c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed No | 80c | 12.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…ed46backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-20?this page
- Will Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.