South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa35a51f32acb0737f377e93bad38d07039bb60d6fd2c58f2144ee8cadb122cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 5,342$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.56 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 4,370$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 73c | 2,439$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.22 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 2,105$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.75 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 1,738$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 937.38$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 44c | 852.02$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.87 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 71c | 722.62$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 70c | 718.01$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.61 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 52c | 704.34$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.66 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 63c | 461.16$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 402.69$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.98 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 41c | 353.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 45c | 338.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 332$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 35c | 315$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 229.07$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 49c | 210$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked No | 20c | 202.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 48c | 197.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 185.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 69c | 140$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 137.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 74c | 128.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 70c | 127.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 41c | 108.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 69c | 96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 94.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 65c | 88.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed No | 21c | 82.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 75.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed No | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 61.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 26c | 61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 31c | 57.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 56.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 27c | 51.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 30c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 72c | 41.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 71c | 33.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 42c | 31.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 72c | 31.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 30.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 50c | 28.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 73c | 27.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 75c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 54c | 20.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 73c | 19.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 72c | 15.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-20?No won
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.