CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59d7e93a7860b25aa0fa6e38b37e4b6fc50a9a274f4567b80f39c5483f2b7d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ex-KRÜ Esports, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 44c | 4,823$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.73 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed ALKA | 49c | 4,431$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.53 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ALKA | 41c | 440$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.06 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 52c | 426$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed ALKA | 62c | 405.63$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 44c | 347.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 47c | 288.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 48c | 258.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 59c | 215$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 44c | 140.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 59c | 132$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 55c | 129$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ALKA | 45c | 129$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALKA | 50c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 12c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…738cbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ALKA | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ALKA | 33c | 89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed ALKA | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ALKA | 46c | 78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 44c | 25.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.